The short answer
MRO distribution runs on many small, urgent orders, and each one carries picking, delivery, invoicing, and often a credit or return. Add those costs to every order and many small orders lose money even at good gross margin. Rank customers by profit after cost to serve and plot the whale curve. If a group of customers destroys part of the profit the rest create, minimum order rules, delivery fees, or a vending program usually win it back.
Where it hides in industrial MRO distribution
Emergency and will-call orders
Orders split across days
Returns and credits
Payment behavior
The records to pull
Twelve to twenty-four months of each. Nothing needs to be installed or connected; a spreadsheet export is enough.
Invoice lines
Delivery and route data
Returns, credits, and AR aging
The ten-day test
Days 1–2
Days 3–5
Days 6–8
Days 9–10
Specimen · illustrative figures
A $110M MRO distributor modeled cost to serve on 2,300 customers. The most profitable 30 percent of customers produced 165 percent of operating profit, and the bottom 25 percent destroyed 48 percent of it. Orders under $150 were 44 percent of order count and 7 percent of revenue. Only four of the team’s ten suspected money-losers were actually in the bottom tier.
Stop condition, written first
Stop if no customer group loses money after cost to serve in both the search period and the holdout, or if the losses are too small to cover the cost of changing terms.
What gets built if it holds
Customer-level profitability refreshed monthly, with order minimums and delivery fees applied by segment, and vending or scheduled replenishment offered to high-frequency accounts. It runs inside your operation, belongs to you, and is measured weekly against the dollar range the test produced.
Sources
- 17Kaplan, R. S. & Narayanan, V. G. (2001). Measuring and managing customer profitability. Journal of Cost Management, 15(5), 5–15.
Specimen figures are illustrative and do not describe a Modven client. Reviewed October 10, 2026.
